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Preprints, Working Papers, ... Year : 2023

People Get Ready: Optimal timing of Revolution


We study here whether and when a social movement can turn into a successful revolution and modify the production system. To do so, the dynamics of social unrest is de_ned as a function of the number of discriminated workers, and their organizational skills, wage inequalities, and retaliation. Then, taking the evolution of social unrest into account, we obtain the optimal time for a revolution as the moment which maximizes discriminated workers' lifetime welfare. It is proven that if unrest increases with time and if a revolution does improve the discriminated's welfare, then a revolution arises independently of the initial state and the characteristics of the economy. Whenever the gains are high enough, then a revolution arises immediately. Worth noting, we show that even if social movement loses momentum, a revolution arises if the initial mass of discontent is sizeable or the system is so repressive that it becomes necessary to revolt.
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Dates and versions

halshs-03372991 , version 1 (11-10-2021)
halshs-03372991 , version 2 (03-01-2023)


  • HAL Id : halshs-03372991 , version 2


Carmen Camacho, Waleed Hassan. People Get Ready: Optimal timing of Revolution. 2023. ⟨halshs-03372991v2⟩
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